New Tariffs on Uranium Seem Unlikely, Stock Analyst Says

The implementation of new tariffs on uranium appears improbable despite the initiation of an investigation of possible trade restrictions under Section 232 (see 1807180029), said Kristoffer Inton, a stock research analyst with Morningstar. "We think it’s unlikely a tariff will be enacted, as we see little merit in the arguments laid out by Energy Fuels and Ur-Energy," he said in a research report on Canadian uranium company Cameco. "First, the key reason production from Kazakhstan has grown so much over the last decade is because it simply is home to low-cost uranium deposits," Inton said. "Roughly 12% of global reserves are found in Kazakhstan, second only to Australia." Also, "national security concerns seem unfounded given that the global uranium market is in oversupply and given that the two companies filing the petition claim that they can scale-up production quickly, if needed," he said. "Additionally, uranium could come from underfeeding, re-enrichment, or from Japan’s built-up inventory until mines expand production. This would seem to minimize concerns about a potential uranium shortage in the U.S."