The proportion of smartphones imported from China dropped from almost 80% to just under 75% last year, according to government data, at the same time total imports fell 1.7%.

Half the companies surveyed by the U.S.-China Business Council say that it's too soon to tell if the tariffs in the China trade war were worth it for the gains won at the negotiating table, even as 78 percent of respondents welcome the phase one deal. Companies see the phase one deal -- which takes effect Feb. 14 -- as something that will prevent more tariff hikes. Of those who are directly affected by the commitments in phase one -- 60 percent of the companies -- the purchase promises matter most, with 30 percent saying that's the most relevant plank. Protection of intellectual property was a close second, with 27 percent of companies saying that's most important.

U.S. importers in December sourced 539,000 TVs from China, 46.2 percent fewer than in November and the lowest monthly volume since the 507,000 Chinese sets shipped here in February 2015, according to Census Bureau data posted Feb. 9 and accessed through the International Trade Commission’s DataWeb tool. Import statistics culled from DataWeb for the fourth full month that the 15 percent List 4A Section 301 tariffs were in force on Chinese goods showed the December exodus from Chinese TV sourcing accelerating at an even faster pace than in November. With it came signs of TV supply-chain diversification through third countries other than Mexico, especially for the cheapest entry-level sets.

Experts disagreed on whether the spread of the coronavirus will make it impossible for China to reach its purchase commitments, or make it more likely that China will wish to please the U.S., as its economy suffers. But one thing most agreed on -- the disease's impact is another reminder, after the tariff war, that companies should diversify instead of being wholly reliant on Chinese factories. The experts were on a panel at the Washington International Trade Association conference Feb. 4 on the future of U.S.-China trade.

While the phase one deal is a welcome pause in trade war hostilities between China and the U.S., the president of the Asia Society Policy Institute said a conclusion to phase two -- which presumably would lift Section 301 tariffs -- won't come this year. The think tank's president, Kevin Rudd, who also is a former prime minister of Australia, said at a program Jan. 28, “I think the best way to look at the phase one deal is that it's a ceasefire. I wouldn't go beyond that, to be honest.” He added, “I don't think it's in either side's political interest to see phase two conclude or fail on this side of a presidential election.”

Despite resumed talk about tariffs on European autos, U.S. Chamber of Commerce officials say they are heartened by the first signs of progress in months for trade talks between the European Union and the United States. Marjorie Chorlins, the Chamber's senior vice president of European affairs, said with a new team at the European Commission, and the positive comments after the meeting in Davos, Switzerland, between President Donald Trump and EC President Ursula von der Leyen, the business community is feeling new hope for an improvement in relations. The officials spoke during a Jan. 24 conference call.

The volume of imports from China fell about 20 percent across the fourth quarter, Flexport executives noted during a webinar Jan. 21 -- which represents both shifting to other categories of goods and re-orienting supply chains. Ryan Petersen, CEO of the freight forwarder, said 64 percent of its clients are paying additional tariffs because of the Trump administration policies.

An expert panel evaluating the changes associated with the labor chapter under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement say that there are a lot of unknown details on the rapid response mechanism to enforce complaints about collective bargaining in Mexico. The panel spoke at the Washington International Trade Association on Jan. 16.

Whether the flow of counterfeit goods shipped from China will abate as a result of the phase one U.S.-China trade agreement is yet to be seen, but Craig Allen, president of the U.S.-China Business Council, said the “language was pretty detailed and complete.” Allen, who was responding to a question from International Trade Today during a Jan. 16 conference call, said this represents “a huge shift in the official Chinese attitude. We should be appreciative of the Chinese government commitment here to better police that [counterfeit problem] internally and at their own border.”

Import volume at major U.S. retail container ports is expected to return to its “usual seasonal patterns” in early 2020 after “a year of fluctuations driven by the uncertainty of the trade war with China,” the National Retail Federation said. The “cycle of imports surging ahead of expected tariff increases” was not good for retailers “trying to manage their inventory levels or trying to make long-term business plans,” the NRF said. It estimates the U.S. handled 1.67 million 20-foot-long cargo containers or their equivalents in November, down 11.2 percent from October and down 7.5 year-over-year, it said. “With on-again, off-again progress on trade negotiations reported throughout the fall and other factors affecting shipping, an expected surge ahead of the canceled December tariff increase did not materialize.”